Absorptive Capacity and Interpretation

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4 Fed’s OT-Related Events (Events 13–14) Economic indicators released in the summer of 2011 point to continuing weakness in economic growth and labor market conditions. In response, the Fed decides to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities by purchasing $400 billion of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6–30 years and simultaneously selling an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 3 years or less. The so-called operation twist (OT) aims to put downward pressures on longer-­term interest rates and reduce their spreads with respect to shorter-term interest rates.

Since the rises in OIS rates are relatively more noticeable, the yield-OIS spreads decline further at medium- and long-maturities by about 10–15 basis points. Joyce et al. (2011a, b) assert that this event has limited effect on interest rates because the extension of QE has been widely anticipated by the market before the announcement. The amount of the BOE’s QE asset purchases is extended by a further £50 billion to a total of £175 billion on August 6, 2009. Meanwhile, the range of UK gilts eligible for purchases is also expanded to include all conventional gilts with a minimum residual maturity of greater than 3 years.

1, the declines are likely to be driven by a shift in the expectations about the path of future short rates. Besides, yield-OIS spreads increase moderately at most of the maturities, and thus no evidence of portfolio rebalance effect is observed. On December 1, 2008, Chairman Ben Bernanke indicates that the Fed could purchase a substantial quantity of long-term Treasuries or agency securities on the open market in an attempt to influence financial conditions and spur aggregate demand. The indication of purchasing long-term securities causes further declines in both Treasury yields and OIS rates which are significant across all maturities.

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